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Construction confidence indicator in November 2018
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Construction confidence indicator in November 2018

Last update: 28.02.2019 | Number of views: 110
Ilustratívny obrázok/Illustrative image
Publisher: Statistical Office of the SR
Topic: Macroeconomic statistics
Domain: Business tendency surveys and consumer opinions
Publish Date: 28.11.2018

In November compared with the previous month, the confidence indicator in construction increased by 3 points to -7,0 as a result of more favourable evaluations of the expected employment. The current result is exceeding the long-term average by 18 points.

Compared with the situation in the previous month, the indicator of the building activity trend over the past three months deteriorated by 6 points to 10, mainly due to enterprises performing construction of buildings and specialised construction works. A decrease of the construction activity was recorded by 5 % of respondents, its increase by 22 % of respondents, and 73 % of enterprises considered it to be unchanged. Compared with October, the evaluation of the current level of overall order books deteriorated by 3 points to -23. 24 % of respondents reported them to be insufficient, 75 % sufficient and for 1% of them the current level of orders was more than sufficient. 35 % of respondents included financial constraints, 32 % shortage of employees,  32 % insufficient demand, 9 % weather conditions and 6 % lack of materials and mechanisms into the most significant factors* limiting a growth of construction production currently. Respondents also report: lack of qualified staff, high competition, lack of transparency in the use of public tenders, payment recklessness of customers and low costs of construction works. 23 % of enterprises do not see any barriers of growth currently. Expectations of respondents in estimation of the employment development improved month-on-month, the business balance of the expected number of employees, increased by 9 points to 9. Over the next three months, 9 % of respondents expect an increase of employment, 79 % expect a stable development and 12 % of enterprises expect a decrease. Compared with October, the business balance of the expected construction production prices over the next three months increased by 6 points to 13, mainly due to enterprises performing construction of buildings. 16 % of respondents expect an increase in the price level of own production, 78 % do not expect any price changes and 6 % of respondents expect their decrease. Evaluations of the business situation of enterprises remained unchanged, month-on-month and the business balance remained at the level 7. 8 % of respondents expect a deterioration of the business situation, 85 % do not expect changes in the development and 7 % of enterprises expect an improvement of the situation. Responses relating to the expected building activity over the next three months,  the business balance increased by 10 points to 22, compared with October, mainly due to enterprises performing construction of buildings. A higher building activity is expected by 21 % of construction enterprises, 51 % expect a stabilization of the current level and 28 % of enterprises expect its decrease.

Based on orders, companies have work orders for 8,3 months on average. By size categories, there are the most work orders in enterprises employing 500 and more people (13,3 months) and in terms of production specification, the enterprises performing civil engineering (10,8 months). In territorial terms, respondents confirmed the most orders upon contract in the regions of Bratislava (11,6 months), and the lowest in the region of Trnava (3,9 months) and Banská Bystrica (4,1 months).


Note: * In November 2018, 318 respondents participated in the survey representing the entire construction sector.

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